A Note on the Middle Income Trap
In the last couple of years, a number of China political observers have commented on the dangers to China of the middle income trap. The fear is that the Chinese economy will fall into the trap. Since economic growth is the remaining claim to legitimacy for CCP, a substantial slowdown from real growth rates of 6 to 15 per cent per year, which obtained in the last forty years, will be disturbing to the harmony that keeps CCP in power.
In what follows I am not making direct claims for or against the middle income trap in China, only describing the concept.
Huawei - Lie down with dogs, get up with fleas
You know the meme – when you work with bad guys, you should expect to be labeled a bad guy. I mean no disrespect to the thousands of Chinese companies doing business across the world that manage to be profitable without intimate Chinese government relations. But in our globalized, internet era, it is impossible for a high tech company, particularly one as fundamentally important to internet networks, to not be tarnished with the specter of theft of intellectual property and CCP internet control and monitoring of Chinese businesspeople, students, even foreigners.
Probably no one outside a small group of analysts has the actual evidence of real dirt on Huawei. But that is the risk of being a national champion in China. If the government is promoting you, then there must be a government interest in promoting you, beyond just “go team.” This is simply Chinese practical reasoning.
But it seems that lying down with dogs is more than just a saying here. In his extraordinary Sinocism news blog, Bill Bishop continues the Huawei stories. From the February 9 edition, with no repetition in the stories (all should be clickable) -
Another update at July 24, 2019 - Boris Johnson became Prime Minister today. From the South China Morning Post -
Boris Johnson, Britain’s prime minister-designate, said his government would be very “pro-China”, in an interview with a Hong Kong-based Chinese-language broadcaster shortly before he was chosen to succeed Theresa May on Tuesday...
Speaking to Phoenix TV, Johnson backed Chinese President Xi Jinping’s infrastructure-based Belt and Road Initiative and said his government would maintain an open market for Chinese investors in Britain.
Crash out is now scheduled for October 31 - Halloween in the US, when goblins arrive.
Idle Thought last week in January, 2019
What if this past weekend were the beginning of the end for the orange haired baboon? And, in the process, the GOP were so damaged that even a Pence presidency couldn’t do much harm, and we gained a president in 2020 who was smart, thoughtful, respected intelligence and loyalty to allies and was up for repairing the extraordinary damage, domestic and international?
Someone who might say something that would remind us of these lines -
“Let the word go forth from this time and place, to friend and foe alike, that the torch has been passed to a new generation of Americans, born in this century, tempered by war, disciplined by a hard and bitter peace, proud of our ancient heritage, and unwilling to witness or permit the slow undoing of those human rights to which this nation has always been committed, and to which we are committed today at home and around the world. Let every nation know, whether it wishes us well or ill, that we shall pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe to assure the survival and the success of liberty.”
Update on Peking U Ideological Battle January, 2019
In a recent post, The Ideology of Occupation, I described an ideological struggle being played out last month at Peking University, the combined Harvard-Yale of China. Now, a followup on what has happened to the "Old Marxist" students who questioned the manner in which CCP has been providing leadership of the proletariat. Spoiler - they are in jail.
Has Trump has been doing God’s work?
For years, some evangelical leaders have been touting Trump as the wolf-king, anointed by God to enact the Christian right agenda. Symbols are important in this swamp-fevered world, and Trump’s immorality is actually a positive sign of his worthiness. Go figure.
Four years ago, Peter Montgomery noted 25 Religious Right Justifications for Supporting Donald Trump. Christian right leaders spoke endlessly of Trump as a chosen vessel for God's will, saying things like "God has picked him up" and that Trump is "literally splitting the kingdom of darkness right open" and that "the Lord has put His favor upon him."
Now I wonder if the coronavirus is a symbol from God as well, a sign of displeasure. Is God finished with Trump? Is Trump past his heavenly use-by date?Read more ...
CCP and Mr. Xi’s Learning Disability
Two full months into the Covid-19 crisis, we see where Mr. Xi’s crackdown on communication and openness has taken him. He is himself in no danger, but CCP runs into a conceptual wall with free flow of information. That is a disability – a learning disability – for CCP and China now.Read more ...
For leaders, information does not want to be free - in US or ChinaRead more ...
Work on contemporary China, academics and journalists but in the popular media
- If they write it, you should read it - (a) mostly individuals
Work on contemporary China, mostly in the popular media
- If they write it, you should read it - (b) mostly organizations
- Power (60)
- Era of Xi (53)
- CCP (33)
- Not in Kansas Anymore (29)
- Fear (28)
- US/China similar and different (23)
- Censorship, house arrest, brutality, extortion (20)
- Health, Education, Welfare (20)
- Language and Culture (17)
- Moral freedom (16)
- Policies, Foreign and Domestic (13)
- Infrastructure and Planning (11)
- China Stories (11)
- Disconnects (9)
- Economics - Macro and Micro (8)
- Foreign policy (7)
- Cultural Hegemony (6)
- Exceptionalism – Chinese and American (6)
- Occupation (4)
- Obligation (3)
- Mindfulness and Care (3)
- Belt and Road (2)
- US Universities – at home and in China (2)
- East Asia (1)
- Housing (1)