For prior posts in this series, see Whither Xi? Whither CCP? Whither China?
Whither China post #7 – Question 5 – Whither China's economic development with no democracy?
contrapositive modernization theory – if not q, then not p – if no democracy, then no future growth
Many observers make not only the first phase of the modernization argument – that with economic growth comes demand for democracy – but also the second phase, the contrapositive argument – if no democracy evolves, then growth will slow or stop. Despite the successes to date, the argument goes, there is a looming disaster, as modern economic growth, or demands of a service economy, or post-industrial growth, or the era of IT, or AI, is incompatible with CCP authoritarian governance.