For prior posts in this series, see Whither Xi? Whither CCP? Whither China?
Whither China post #9 – Question 7 – So no democracy, no resilience; heavy challenges. Now what?
We looked at authoritarian resilience, modernization theory, the contrapositive to modernization theory, and threats to innovation, and came up short in two ways - on the need for a democratic transition and the inevitability of a growth slowdown without democracy.
This is not to say that high levels of growth can continue or that protests will cease. The question then turns to the current challenges in China – what is happening? A version of Minxin Pei’s Trapped Transition is likely, although I think there are necessary updates to his view. It is Mr. Xi who is leading China into a trap.